johnpaulca
12,036 posts
msg #122825
- Ignore johnpaulca |
2/12/2015 4:07:04 PM
AAPL....Shorting into strength is like trying to find a bottom...risky!!!
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four
5,087 posts
msg #122828
- Ignore four |
2/12/2015 5:54:23 PM
johnpaulca
8,716 posts
msg #122813
2/12/2015 9:38:23 AM
--
thanks
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johnpaulca
12,036 posts
msg #122832
- Ignore johnpaulca |
2/13/2015 9:30:14 AM
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/too-already-bear-market-110124065.html
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this is why I don't pay attention to this crap.
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johnpaulca
12,036 posts
msg #122836
- Ignore johnpaulca |
2/13/2015 11:14:30 AM
johnpaulca
8,717 posts
msg #122797 2/10/2015 9:30:07 AM
URI($90.97)
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closed at $93.90....should go to $95 before next resis.
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Eman93
4,750 posts
msg #122851
- Ignore Eman93 |
2/16/2015 7:48:48 AM
guspenskiy13
972 posts
msg #122824
- Ignore guspenskiy13
modified 2/12/2015 3:46:16 PM
short the apple? or not yet?
short the apple and long spy? some beta arbitrage...
the odds for apple to have 5 up days in a row are ....2.7027%
the odds for apple to have 5 up weeks in a row are ....3.6%
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This is a bad short imho. Everone who is not in is waiting for a pullback to buy. This is one of the hottest in the market. Find something that has a broken trend and has bounced to short. The only sector to short is comod related names.
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guspenskiy13
976 posts
msg #122861
- Ignore guspenskiy13 |
2/16/2015 7:52:28 PM
Eman, strong reasoning - but all good things are coming to an end. Do you think it's overbought and hyped up?
I've read somewhere that a good time to sell the market is when even the most passive/pessimistic investors are pouring the money in.....Apple was the most popular stock in 2014 already....it's hyped up and pumped by buy-backs...
I'm still on side-lines....here are just some fun technical facts:
1) $130 is 161.8 for the 50% pull-back and other minor pull-back.
2) Difference from ema(200) at the 2-year resistance which resulted in at least 5% pull-back during past five occurences.
3) 2-year LRC 1SD boundary is even closer than in late November.
moar:
1) Short interest 03/31/2014: 155 mil. Short Interest 1/30/2015: 59 mil. Talk about a short-squeeze. It actually grew for the first time in the first half of January only to get squeezed again..
2) P/C ratio... $115 will be an entertaining level.
3) Goldman is selling...lol...little more than 27 million shares all-together...for the past quarter
P.S.
Selling Apple naked...idk..for now.....selling Apple/buying S&P....seems reasonable.
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Eman93
4,750 posts
msg #122862
- Ignore Eman93 |
2/17/2015 1:43:17 AM
Hey i get it, but its a stab in the dark, the saying in trading is you can only control your risk.
http://stockcharts.com/public/1107832/chartbook/308233758; its a long buy the pull back.
You could hit it but you are trading against the trend.. let it break down then short the bounce. You need to pick your spots.
Trades can take weeks or months to set up,
The gap down will be bought tomorrow.. unless the Greeks get real nasty...imho
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karennma
8,057 posts
msg #122865
- Ignore karennma |
2/17/2015 9:53:46 AM
L QRVO @ 68.91
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karennma
8,057 posts
msg #122873
- Ignore karennma |
2/18/2015 12:27:59 PM
oh gawd! I can't believe I'm stuck in QRVO. (sigh!)
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johnpaulca
12,036 posts
msg #122874
- Ignore johnpaulca |
2/18/2015 1:26:32 PM
It's the market blowing off some overbought conditions...your timing was a little off. You just became an investor, it happens to the best of us...glty.
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